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The Topic Predictor

Ranked likelihood of every Edexcel A-level Maths topic appearing on your next paper, based on exam, specimen and sample paper data. Free tier shows the top 5. Unlock the full list with Predictor Pro.

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#TopicAppearancesAvg marks/yrLikelihood

1
Chain & Product & Quotient Rules
28 apps · avg 10.8 marks/yr
28
10.8
95%
2
2nd Year Trig Identities & Equations
24 apps · avg 12.9 marks/yr
24
12.9
94%
3
Factor Theorem / Algebraic Root Finding
19 apps · avg 6.9 marks/yr
19
6.9
73%
4
Solving Differential Equations
14 apps · avg 9.8 marks/yr
14
9.8
73%
5
Integration by Substitution & Reverse Chain Rule
15 apps · avg 8.5 marks/yr
15
8.5
71%
6
Functions & Inverses & Composites & Domain & Range
16 apps · avg 7 marks/yr
16
7
69%
7
Vectors
15 apps · avg 7 marks/yr
15
7
68%
8
Exponential Modelling
13 apps · avg 7.5 marks/yr
13
7.5
66%
9
Geometric Series
13 apps · avg 6.6 marks/yr
13
6.6
64%
10
Modulus Functions
13 apps · avg 6.6 marks/yr
13
6.6
64%
11
Parametric Equations & Forming Cartesians
14 apps · avg 5.5 marks/yr
14
5.5
63%
12
Circle Equations
11 apps · avg 6.5 marks/yr
11
6.5
61%
13
2nd Year Trig Modelling & Harmonic Form
10 apps · avg 7.1 marks/yr
10
7.1
61%
14
Arc Length / Sectors / Radians
12 apps · avg 5.5 marks/yr
12
5.5
60%
15
First Year Integration
11 apps · avg 5.2 marks/yr
11
5.2
58%
16
Binomial Expansion 2nd Year
10 apps · avg 5.8 marks/yr
10
5.8
58%
17
First Year Differentiation
12 apps · avg 4.3 marks/yr
12
4.3
57%
18
Quadratics
12 apps · avg 3.9 marks/yr
12
3.9
56%
19
Implicit Differentiation
9 apps · avg 5.7 marks/yr
9
5.7
56%
20
Exponential Curves / Equations / Inequalities
12 apps · avg 3.5 marks/yr
12
3.5
55%
21
Stationary Points & Increasing Functions
11 apps · avg 3.8 marks/yr
11
3.8
53%
22
Arithmetic Series
9 apps · avg 3.8 marks/yr
9
3.8
52%
23
Forming Iteration Formulas to Solve Equations and Using Cobweb/staircase Diagrams
10 apps · avg 2.7 marks/yr
10
2.7
51%
24
Set Notation
9 apps · avg 3.2 marks/yr
9
3.2
50%
25
Trapezium Rule
8 apps · avg 3.6 marks/yr
8
3.6
50%
26
Graph Transformations
9 apps · avg 2.5 marks/yr
9
2.5
49%
27
Quadratic Modelling
8 apps · avg 4.6 marks/yr
8
4.6
48%
28
Integration by Parts
7 apps · avg 3.6 marks/yr
7
3.6
48%
29
Rates of Change / Forming Differential Equations
9 apps · avg 2.8 marks/yr
9
2.8
47%
30
Integration with Partial Fractions & Long Division
7 apps · avg 3.2 marks/yr
7
3.2
47%
31
Change of Sign Method
9 apps · avg 1.5 marks/yr
9
1.5
46%
32
Proof by Contradiction
7 apps · avg 2.5 marks/yr
7
2.5
46%
33
Parametric Differentiation
6 apps · avg 3 marks/yr
6
3
46%
34
Small Angle Approximations
8 apps · avg 2.5 marks/yr
8
2.5
44%
35
Integration Using Trig Identities & Trig Reverse Chain Rule
6 apps · avg 3.7 marks/yr
6
3.7
43%
36
Sine / Cosine Rules & 1/2absinc
6 apps · avg 2.1 marks/yr
6
2.1
43%
37
Proof by Exhaustion
6 apps · avg 2.1 marks/yr
6
2.1
42%
38
Using Iterative Formulas for Sequences & Series
5 apps · avg 2.1 marks/yr
5
2.1
42%
39
Converting Exponential Models Linear Log Models
4 apps · avg 2.8 marks/yr
4
2.8
42%
40
1st Year Trig Identities and Equations
11 apps · avg 4 marks/yr
11
4
41%
41
Algebraic Long Division
5 apps · avg 1.5 marks/yr
5
1.5
41%
42
Log Equations / Inequalities / Log Proofs
9 apps · avg 3.5 marks/yr
9
3.5
40%
43
Partial Fractions
7 apps · avg 2.6 marks/yr
7
2.6
40%
44
Newton-raphson
5 apps · avg 1.4 marks/yr
5
1.4
40%
45
Modelling with Stationary Points
6 apps · avg 2.8 marks/yr
6
2.8
39%
46
Differentiation by First Principles
4 apps · avg 1.4 marks/yr
4
1.4
39%
47
Integration Using the Limit Definition
4 apps · avg 1.3 marks/yr
4
1.3
39%
48
Solving & Defining Inequalities
9 apps · avg 2.8 marks/yr
9
2.8
38%
49
Series with Sigma Notation
7 apps · avg 2 marks/yr
7
2
38%
50
1st Year Trig Modelling
3 apps · avg 1.3 marks/yr
3
1.3
37%
51
Harder Rearranging Formulae
5 apps · avg 1.3 marks/yr
5
1.3
35%
52
Reciprocal Graphs and Asymptotes
2 apps · avg 0.6 marks/yr
2
0.6
34%
53
Proof by Deduction
6 apps · avg 2 marks/yr
6
2
32%
54
Periodic Series
5 apps · avg 1.9 marks/yr
5
1.9
31%
55
Linear Modelling
3 apps · avg 1.4 marks/yr
3
1.4
29%
56
Non-linear Modelling
2 apps · avg 1.2 marks/yr
2
1.2
29%
57
Modelling with Modulus Signs
3 apps · avg 1.9 marks/yr
3
1.9
28%
58
Points of Inflection & Concave / Convex Curves
4 apps · avg 0.9 marks/yr
4
0.9
27%
59
Parametric Integration
3 apps · avg 1.8 marks/yr
3
1.8
25%
60
Non-linear Modelling with Logs in the Form Y=ax^n
3 apps · avg 2.2 marks/yr
3
2.2
23%
61
Differentiating Sin and Cos by First Principles
3 apps · avg 1.4 marks/yr
3
1.4
23%
62
Area Between Two Curves
2 apps · avg 1.3 marks/yr
2
1.3
20%
63
Proof by Counter Example
4 apps · avg 0.7 marks/yr
4
0.7
19%
64
Binomial Expansion 1st Year
1 apps · avg 0.3 marks/yr
1
0.3
15%
65
Linear Equations & Linear Graphs
1 apps · avg 0.6 marks/yr
1
0.6
8%

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Likelihood Score (Model M15) = 40% frequency · 30% recency (exponential decay, λ=0.4) · 30% average marks per year · 10% overdue-gap bonus.